SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7


^ SHELL – RUSSIA
C. Cooperation on LNG is key to U.S.-Russia relations

George W. Bush, the president of the United States, February 24, 2005, “President and President Putin Discuss Strong U.S.-Russian Partnership”, http SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2005/02/20050224-9.html, [T-Jacob]
Another important and interesting opportunity is our cooperation in the supplies of liquified natural gas. In the year 2010, 2011, a large amount of liquified natural gas can SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 be supplied from Russia to the United States. Our investment corporation is becoming generally bilateral. The first steps -- but constant steps are being мейд by Russian companies that are starting SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 to invest their capital into American economy. We have also discussed the status and prospects of Russia's cooperation in science, high-tech; in particular, in the exploration of outer space. In conclusion, I SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 would like to say that I highly appreciate

the outcome of this summit. Later this year, we are going to meet a few more times within the framework of various international SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 фора. I would like to take this opportunity to thank the President of the United States who has accepted the invitation to participate in the festivities on the occasion of the SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 anniversary of the great victory on May 9th in Moscow. This is a natural manifestation of respect of historic memory and the memory of the alliance that bonded our two countries in SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 the years of the second world war.


^ D. US-Russian relations are key to preventing nuclear terrorism and proliferation
David Kramer, Deputy Assistant Secretary for European and Eurasian Affairs, July 12, 2006, “The Future Obit of SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 US Russian Relations”, Speech: US State Depart . David, Deputy Assistant Secretary for European and Eurasian Affairs, “The Future Orbit of US Russian Relations”, Speech: US State Department, July 2. [T-Jacob]
Our SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 cooperation will include the physical protection of nuclear materials, suppressing illicit trafficking of those materials, responding and mitigating the consequences of any acts of nuclear terrorism, and cooperating on the development of the SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 technical means to combat nuclear terrorism, denying safe haven to terrorists, and strengthening our national legal frameworks to ensure the prosecution of such terrorists and their supporters. This initiative serves U.S. national SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 security interests. We have invited partner nations to meet in the fall to elaborate on and endorse a statement of principles for this initiative. It's one we hope SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 to expand.


^ E. Nuclear terrorism results in extinction

Mohamed Sid-Ahmed, Egyptian Political Analyst, August, 26, 2004, Al-Ahram Newspaper, http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2004/705/op5.htm | SWON. [T-Jacob]

What would be the consequences of SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 a nuclear attack by terrorists? Even if it fails, it would further exacerbate the negative features of the new and frightening world in which we are now living. Societies would close in on themselves SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7, police measures would be stepped up at the expense of human rights, tensions between civilisations and religions would rise and ethnic conflicts would proliferate. It would also speed up SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 the arms race and develop the awareness that a different type of world order is imperative if humankind is to survive. But the still more critical scenario is if the attack succeeds. This could lead SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 to a third world war, from which no one will emerge victorious. Unlike a conventional war which ends when one side triumphs over another, this war will be without winners SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 and losers. When nuclear pollution infects the whole planet, we will all be losers.

^ Uniqueness – Natural Gas Dependence Growing
America’s dependence on natural gas is growing

Gary J. Schmitt, Resident Scholar and SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 Director of Program on Advanced Strategic Studies, Executive director of the President's Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board, Executive director, Project for the New American Century (a foreign and defense policy think tank), Ph.D SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7., University of Chicago, April 2006, “Energy Security, National Security, and Natural Gas”, http://www.aei.org/publications/pubID.24223/pub_detail.asp, Accessed July 15, 2008 CM


But the president ís contention that America’s economy is SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 “petroleum-based” is not entirely accurate. Although oil makes up approximately 40 percent of total U.S. energy consumption, coal and natural gas each now supply about 25 percent of the total SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 energy consumed by the United States. So, while oil is a major element in America’s energy supplies, it is by no means the only significant factor. Disruption in natural gas or coal SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 supplies would pose major problems to the American economy. Moreover, there are increasing signs that when it comes to natural gas we are headed down a road similar to one we now face SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 with oil--and with security implications that echo oil ís as well. In short, like addicts the world over who try to free themselves from one addiction only to find themselves SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 hooked on another, so too Americans may soon find imported oil is not the only energy-source problem about which we have to worry.


Gas Goes Boom


^ Until recently, the United SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 States was in pretty good shape when it came to natural gas. Prices were low and supplies sufficient. In 2000, for example, North America consumed nearly one-third of the world ís annual SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 output of natural gas. Unlike oil, for which the United States, Canada, and Mexico together produced only 60 percent of the supplies they consumed, the three countries produced nearly 100 percent of the natural SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 gas consumed. Bound together by free trade agreements, the continental market for natural gas more than doubled through the 1990s.


If energy experts inside and outside the government are correct, the proportion SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 of total energy consumption accounted for by natural gas is likely to grow substantially over the next decade and a half. If current trend lines and government policies are sustained, about 90 percent SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 of the projected increase in electricity generation will be fueled by natural gas plants. Indeed, between 2000 and 2004, America’s electricity-generating capacity grew by approximately one-fifth, and virtually all of that growth SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 was gas-fired. By 2020, predictions are that more than one-third of the country’s electricity will be generated through burning natural gas. The reasons are well understood: power plants that burn natural SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 gas cost less and are far easier to build than nuclear power plants and have fewer waste and emission problems than nuclear or coal plants, respectively. With the expanding use SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 of natural gas for residences and its use as the primary feedstock in the manufacturing process for a wide variety of products, demand for natural gas is expected to rise anywhere from 40 percent to SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 50 percent between 2000 and 2020.


The problem is that the available supply of natural gas is not keeping pace with this growing demand. In North America, production from existing wells is declining SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7, and new wells show a more rapid rate of decline than in the past. As the natural gas producers themselves have remarked, they have to run harder to stay even--which means digging more SHELL – RUSSIA - Natural gas generic 1/7 but less productive wells.
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